India isn't quite the open society some say it is, yet

 

By R.N.Bhaskar


November 7, 2006 (published in the DNA). pdf version available here (2006_11_DNA_India_isn't_an_open_society_yet_946kb.pdf
)


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While population grows by at least 22 million each year, we manage to churn out just 10.5 million graduates, half of them not employable.

Also, the total number of all graduates accounts for just around 2.43% of the population.

In freedom of press, the country is ranked at a sad 105 among the 168 countries surveyed by Reporters without Borders for Press Freedom.
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How open is India’s economy?  Many economists believe that India is quite open.   But sociologists disagree.  They believe that the openness of a society can best measured by other parameters like access to justice, education and statistical data.

Access to justice is very hard to quantify.  Hence, even though this remains the most critical parameter, it may make sense to look at the other benchmarks first.  Which makes it necessary for us to take a harder and critical look at education.

<> Education, say sociologists come through two means – one through the formal schooling system, and the other through the informal information system like newspapers, radio, television, periodicals and even other well informed people.  That is why the data presented before the entire world by an organisation called “Reporters without borders for Press Freedom” becomes extremely relevant (http://www.rsf.org/rubrique.php3?id_rubrique=639).  A look at this website shows that even the US currently ranks 53rd in freedom of the press, far behind Panama, El Salvador, Chile and a number of former Soviet block countries. But it is way ahead of India, which stands at a sad 105 of the 168 countries surveyed.  But India still stands ahead of other countries like Thailand (122), Mexico (132), Sri Lanka (141), Singapore (146), Russia (147), and Pakistan (157). <> 

That is why it may be necessary to look at formal education as well.  And this is where alarm bells start ringing. <> 
First, notwithstanding the government’s claims of having achieved 65% literacy, it must be remembered that the government defines a person as being literate if he can read and write the alphabets of his (or her) own name.  Thus if Ram knows to read and write just the three alphabets of his name, he is considered literate.  The definition is absurd!  That is why many believe that actual literacy may be well below the 25% level. <> 

Second, look at some more alarming data (table 1). ‘

 

Table 1: Estimated Stock of Manpower by major categories - 1999

 

Figures in 000s

India's population

1,000,000

Total Graduates

24349.0

      Medicine

369.9

      Dentistry

21.8

      Agricultural science

223.8

      Veterinary science

44.0

 

 

Post Graduates

5040.7

       Arts

3526.3

       Science

730.6

       Commerce

783.8

 

 

Graduates

15979.7

       Arts

8023.0

       Science

3655.4

       Commerce

4301.3

 

 

Engineers

2158.7

       Degree holders

845.6

       Diploma holders

1313.1

 

 

Nursing Personnel

510.4

       General nurses

260.0

       Auxiliary nurses &  mid-wives

227.0

        Health visitors

23.4

Total Graduates as % of population

2.43

Note: Based on estimates by the Institute of Applied Manpower Research, New Delhi.’ The manpower stock is at the beginning of the year.

<> 
As the data (for 1999) shows, the total number of all graduates account for just around 2.43% of our population.  This is far too small a number for any country to sustain a healthy economic rate of growth year after year.  Unless this percentage goes up, India’s economic growth could falter.  So is the government doing something about it? <>The next table is even more alarming:
 

Table 2 : Growth of higher education institutions and enrolment in India

Year

Universities

Colleges

Total HEIs*

<>Enrolment
(
in Million)

1947-48

20

496

516

0.2

1950-51

28

578

606

0.2

1960-61

45

1,819

1,864

0.6

1970-71

93

3,277

3,370

2.0

1980-81

123

4,738

4,861

2.8

1990-91

184

5,748

5,932

4.4

2000-01

266

11,146

11,412

8.8

2005-06

348

17,625

17,973

10.5

Source: Trade in Education Services; a consultation paper on Higher Education In India and GATS: an opportunity  Prepared by the Trade Policy Division, Department of Commerce, Government of India, Sept 2006;

(*)HEI – Higher education institution

 

<> Clearly, while enrolment  in Higher Educational Institutions (HEIs) has increased to 10.5 million, it has not kept pace with the growth in India’s population.  Thus while India’s population growth of  2% annually adds at least 22 million people each year, we manage to churn out just 10.5 million graduates.  What is worse, the quality of these graduates has been slipping alarmingly, causing industry to reject at least half of them as being unemployable.

And yet India’s ministers continue to talk about reservations on the one hand, and becoming a world power on the other!  Something is horrifyingly wrong with India’s governance and planning.  If some of these numbers do not change, India’s bid for becoming a world power might become a joke!




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